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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2025-10-07 00:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$447−$134$581
Holders14+59
Trades108+1197
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
+18.4 pp
36.2%
Avg ROI18.3%
+22.9 pp
-4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.11
+6.32×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.20
+8.41×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$130
−$3
$134
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.15
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.2%
−116.7 pp
27.6%
Underwater %96.9%
+92.6 pp
4.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.8%
+1.7 pp
84.1%
Bot %85.8%
+1.7 pp
84.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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