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Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?

data as of 2026-03-31 19:17 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$32K−$2.0K$34K
Holders387+176211
Trades1.9K−5302.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−3.1 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI3.6%
+4.9 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.21
+0.35×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.26
+0.42×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.5K
+$1.8K
$695
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.10
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-20.9%
−40.9 pp
20.0%
Underwater %97.8%
+97.0 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.2%
−33.1 pp
62.3%
Bot %25.9%
−33.8 pp
59.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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