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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 19:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.3K−$15K$17K
Holders132+21111
Trades1.0K−491.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.2%
−19.3 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI-1.8%
−1.8 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.62
+16.76×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.07
+15.20×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$960
−$4.0K
$5.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.11
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.1%
−111.9 pp
17.7%
Underwater %96.3%
+96.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
−16.5 pp
90.0%
Bot %78.1%
−14.0 pp
92.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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