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Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

data as of 2026-03-17 02:12 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jan 25, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
11¢
NO
89¢
YES
11¢
YesY-NNo
Position$329−$1.1K$1.5K
Holders31−940
Trades345+155190
NO
89¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.5%
+3.0 pp
65.5%
Avg ROI8.4%
−12.8 pp
21.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−0.23×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−0.14×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$43
$49
Recent buyer dominance0.63
−0.37
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.0%
+19.2 pp
-2.2%
Underwater %29.4%
−42.4 pp
71.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.8%
−96.1 pp
99.0%
Bot %2.8%
−96.1 pp
99.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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