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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 13?

data as of 2026-04-13 13:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$790−$1.3K$2.1K
Holders102+2082
Trades766+405361
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−23.7 pp
66.8%
Avg ROI1.1%
−2.4 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.73
+11.93×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.11
+11.31×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$21
$22
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.38
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−124.2 pp
32.2%
Underwater %98.4%
+98.0 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.6%
+16.7 pp
13.9%
Bot %30.6%
+14.9 pp
15.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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