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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET

data as of 2026-04-25 09:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$14K$9.1K
Holders89−18107
Trades2.5K+2252.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
+4.5 pp
47.6%
Avg ROI1.7%
+0.6 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−18.41×
×18.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−17.46×
×18.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1.2K
−$1.7K
$507
Recent buyer dominance0.29
−0.66
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL71.5%
+165.8 pp
-94.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.2%
+17.0 pp
57.2%
Bot %79.7%
+18.5 pp
61.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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