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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

data as of 2026-02-23 05:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K+$1.6K$23K
Holders342+86256
Trades5.1K−6395.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.0%
−6.4 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI-0.3%
+1.8 pp
-2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.72
+29.30×
×0.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.05
+28.64×
×0.42
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.5K
+$2.7K
$6.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.09
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−231.6 pp
135.3%
Underwater %95.8%
+95.2 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.3%
−4.9 pp
81.3%
Bot %75.8%
−5.6 pp
81.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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