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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 00:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$5.7K$10.0K
Holders266+18248
Trades1.9K−452.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.1%
+10.9 pp
47.2%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−0.4 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−41.72×
×42.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.52
−40.51×
×41.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
+$3.3K
$433
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.13
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL82.1%
+179.5 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.2 pp
97.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.0%
+3.4 pp
72.6%
Bot %76.3%
+3.8 pp
72.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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