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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 8?

data as of 2026-07-06 04:23 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 8, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$156$158
Holders4+31
Trades4+31
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.7%
−78.5 pp
98.1%
Avg ROI31.4%
+22.8 pp
8.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.16
+0.16×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$156
$158
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-13.9%
−13.9 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %16.2%
−83.8 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.6%
+2.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %2.6%
+2.6 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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