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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET

data as of 2026-05-17 05:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.1K−$3.1K$7.2K
Holders89−14103
Trades1.1K−1151.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.1%
+1.2 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI1.7%
+1.4 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.39
+15.97×
×0.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.81
+15.40×
×0.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14
−$1.3K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.58
−0.21
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.0%
−227.5 pp
133.5%
Underwater %94.3%
+92.5 pp
1.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.6%
+7.4 pp
48.2%
Bot %67.9%
+15.3 pp
52.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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