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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-07 20:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.5K+$1.7K$6.8K
Holders99−41140
Trades1.7K−791.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.9%
+13.6 pp
43.3%
Avg ROI2.5%
+4.6 pp
-2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−42.60×
×43.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−38.85×
×39.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$930
−$1.5K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.37
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL69.9%
+167.3 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.7 pp
94.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %87.7%
+1.2 pp
86.5%
Bot %90.6%
+3.2 pp
87.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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