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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-07-20 16:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K−$9.3K$18K
Holders51+1239
Trades1.0K+251796
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.1%
−1.0 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI4.3%
+2.5 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×44.15
+43.56×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.88
+40.30×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$959
−$984
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.14
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−171.3 pp
73.7%
Underwater %96.8%
+96.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.0%
−8.8 pp
77.8%
Bot %66.9%
−10.9 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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