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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 07:38 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$9.8K$9.8K
Holders292−119411
Trades2.0K−6522.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
+2.5 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI0.3%
−0.5 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−5.07×
×5.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−4.70×
×5.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.1K
+$11.2K
$7.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.7%
+104.5 pp
-82.9%
Underwater %12.7%
−82.0 pp
94.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.1%
−0.2 pp
28.4%
Bot %50.9%
+5.3 pp
45.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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