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Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?

data as of 2026-05-19 22:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$249−$6.5K$6.7K
Holders86+3848
Trades1.1K+832244
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate23.9%
−56.6 pp
80.5%
Avg ROI24.9%
+19.3 pp
5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.45×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−0.10×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$40
$40
Recent buyer dominance0.50
−0.50
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-72.3%
−77.6 pp
5.2%
Underwater %17.0%
+6.1 pp
11.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.2%
−8.2 pp
9.5%
Bot %0.6%
−45.0 pp
45.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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