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Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

data as of 2026-03-20 17:03 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K−$16K$17K
Holders215+39176
Trades3.3K+2.0K1.3K
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−24.2 pp
66.7%
Avg ROI4.0%
−0.5 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.90
+5.97×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.24
+5.30×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$334
$344
Recent buyer dominance0.66
−0.34
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.2%
−91.7 pp
7.5%
Underwater %85.9%
+78.8 pp
7.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.9%
−80.3 pp
88.2%
Bot %8.3%
−81.5 pp
89.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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