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2024 November hottest on record?

data as of 2024-12-03 02:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$108K$109K
Holders49−1463
Trades1.1K−19K20K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
−19.8 pp
64.4%
Avg ROI5.0%
−0.2 pp
5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.65
+0.70×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.49
+1.55×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$27
−$2.9K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.80
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.5%
−64.2 pp
6.8%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.5%
−49.9 pp
51.4%
Bot %1.5%
−49.9 pp
51.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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