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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?

data as of 2026-06-20 12:03 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
37¢
NO
96¢
YES
37¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.9K−$4.7K$6.7K
Holders113+5108
Trades433−43476
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
−25.4 pp
76.1%
Avg ROI5.5%
+1.3 pp
4.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.34
+0.85×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.31
+0.73×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$124
−$699
$822
Recent buyer dominance0.64
−0.31
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-23.1%
−114.7 pp
91.6%
Underwater %74.3%
+74.1 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.6%
−0.8 pp
11.4%
Bot %17.5%
+4.0 pp
13.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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