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Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of December?

data as of 2025-12-31 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$624+$599$25
Holders2−3133
Trades4−5660
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−3.5 pp
3.5%
Avg ROI0.0%
−1335.5 pp
1335.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.98
−0.02×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.99
−13.79×
×14.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL1.5%
+93.8 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−7.9 pp
7.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.0%
+56.9 pp
23.1%
Bot %80.0%
+53.8 pp
26.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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