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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-05 04:27 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.2K+$6.3K$2.9K
Holders152−3155
Trades1.2K−1401.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+17.1 pp
37.9%
Avg ROI1.6%
−0.0 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−10.42×
×11.20
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−17.22×
×17.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.6K
+$2.3K
$255
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.00
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.4%
+129.0 pp
-94.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−91.7 pp
91.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.1%
−9.7 pp
71.8%
Bot %62.3%
−10.8 pp
73.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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