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Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

data as of 2026-02-09 04:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$385K−$177K$562K
Holders885+501384
Trades10.0K+4.2K5.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
−2.2 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI1.0%
−3.2 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×405.68
+405.12×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×378.36
+377.71×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$7.6K
$7.6K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.7%
−154.6 pp
54.9%
Underwater %97.8%
+97.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
−6.7 pp
51.9%
Bot %47.3%
−4.3 pp
51.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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