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Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 15?

data as of 2026-04-14 19:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$85−$3.1K$3.2K
Holders58+553
Trades413+238175
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.6%
−29.3 pp
71.0%
Avg ROI25.5%
+24.3 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.82
+1.83×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.63
+2.65×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$13
$14
Recent buyer dominance0.56
+0.05
0.51
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-75.3%
−78.1 pp
2.8%
Underwater %88.3%
+81.5 pp
6.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.3%
+14.2 pp
1.1%
Bot %13.6%
+12.6 pp
1.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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