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Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

data as of 2026-01-03 06:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$161−$29K$29K
Holders54+1440
Trades620+127493
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.7%
−29.1 pp
89.9%
Avg ROI18.6%
+18.6 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.20
+1.21×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.90
+1.91×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$331
$334
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-64.0%
−65.4 pp
1.4%
Underwater %82.5%
+82.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.1%
−42.6 pp
76.7%
Bot %28.8%
−64.4 pp
93.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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