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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

data as of 2026-02-13 17:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K−$34K$66K
Holders531+84447
Trades8.7K−3829.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.8%
−7.6 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI0.7%
+2.9 pp
-2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.57
+11.91×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.61
+10.93×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.2K
−$26.6K
$33.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.6%
−141.8 pp
50.2%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.1%
−5.7 pp
86.8%
Bot %80.6%
−5.8 pp
86.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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