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Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?

data as of 2025-05-08 16:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$17K−$227K$244K
Holders624−339963
Trades14K+6.8K6.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−16.0 pp
63.9%
Avg ROI8.4%
+5.1 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.62
+4.62×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.60
+5.59×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
−$2.2K
$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.3%
−83.8 pp
-0.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+59.6 pp
40.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.5%
−25.3 pp
34.8%
Bot %2.0%
−32.8 pp
34.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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