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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 14:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$15K$34K
Holders462−12474
Trades4.3K−2334.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−11.7 pp
60.7%
Avg ROI1.9%
−0.5 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×52.00
+51.54×
×0.46
Top-20 avg cost vs price×42.43
+41.96×
×0.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.5K
−$2.2K
$19.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.00
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−195.4 pp
97.8%
Underwater %92.8%
+90.4 pp
2.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.8%
−0.4 pp
63.2%
Bot %66.4%
+3.7 pp
62.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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