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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 17:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$12K$25K
Holders327−6333
Trades2.8K+3952.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−2.4 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI3.1%
+2.0 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.69
+13.98×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.62
+14.92×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.0K
−$11.8K
$24.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−137.2 pp
43.9%
Underwater %95.8%
+95.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.8%
+1.1 pp
41.7%
Bot %74.9%
+4.6 pp
70.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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