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XRP Up or Down - July 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 03:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$88−$281$369
Holders24+222
Trades72−173
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.9%
+0.4 pp
56.5%
Avg ROI1.5%
−0.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.01
+0.41×
×2.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.03
+0.68×
×2.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$75
−$212
$288
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-67.0%
−9.6 pp
-57.4%
Underwater %87.8%
−9.1 pp
96.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.4%
+1.9 pp
46.5%
Bot %48.4%
+3.1 pp
45.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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