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Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 18?

data as of 2026-01-18 00:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$705−$107K$107K
Holders51−304355
Trades561−313874
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.7%
−32.2 pp
63.9%
Avg ROI24.4%
+21.4 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.39
+0.40×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.77
+2.81×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2.0K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.9%
−75.3 pp
3.4%
Underwater %73.9%
+63.2 pp
10.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.1%
−19.7 pp
39.8%
Bot %20.1%
−15.9 pp
36.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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