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Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?

data as of 2026-05-01 14:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$958−$14K$15K
Holders162−4166
Trades2.6K+1.2K1.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.2%
−42.5 pp
74.7%
Avg ROI8.6%
+9.0 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−0.50×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−0.40×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$304
$320
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.31
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.2%
+42.5 pp
-2.3%
Underwater %18.4%
−71.0 pp
89.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.5%
−6.2 pp
16.7%
Bot %7.6%
−7.8 pp
15.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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