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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ET

data as of 2025-08-19 03:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$6.0K$10.0K
Holders55+253
Trades671−3911.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.5%
+3.9 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI11.1%
+9.0 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−0.84×
×1.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−0.71×
×1.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
−$578
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.01
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.6%
+53.2 pp
-35.6%
Underwater %20.3%
−75.1 pp
95.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.9%
−13.6 pp
73.5%
Bot %59.7%
−13.8 pp
73.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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