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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 16:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$34K+$24K$11K
Holders465+73392
Trades3.1K−4293.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.3%
+5.3 pp
48.0%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.8 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−11.82×
×12.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−11.06×
×11.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.9K
+$21.6K
$9.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.05
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.5%
+125.3 pp
-91.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.2%
−3.7 pp
46.0%
Bot %64.4%
−2.6 pp
67.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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