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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 14:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.1K−$7.8K$9.9K
Holders95+392
Trades822+61761
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−3.3 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI1.2%
−0.3 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.67
+15.80×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.17
+15.29×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$333
−$2.1K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−108.7 pp
14.5%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.9%
+4.7 pp
38.2%
Bot %55.4%
+2.7 pp
52.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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