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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3AM ET

data as of 2026-03-26 08:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K−$27K$56K
Holders120−7127
Trades2.4K−2442.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
−1.7 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+3.6 pp
-4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.13
+44.55×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.69
+45.14×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
+$2.4K
$3.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.24
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−176.2 pp
78.5%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %89.9%
+10.3 pp
79.6%
Bot %90.3%
+10.8 pp
79.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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