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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 10:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.6K−$12K$17K
Holders359+53306
Trades2.1K+4081.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−1.7 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI1.7%
+0.4 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.89
+11.11×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.95
+12.16×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.2K
−$9.0K
$14.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−123.2 pp
31.2%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.9%
−4.7 pp
41.6%
Bot %54.3%
−3.7 pp
58.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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