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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 30?

data as of 2026-06-29 03:59 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
35¢
NO
65¢
YES
35¢
YesY-NNo
Position$244−$405$649
Holders21−223
Trades67+364
NO
65¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.0%
+18.6 pp
48.4%
Avg ROI16.7%
+9.8 pp
6.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−0.46×
×1.15
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−0.31×
×1.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$40
−$31
$71
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.3%
+37.2 pp
-11.9%
Underwater %37.3%
−48.1 pp
85.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−0.6 pp
0.6%
Bot %0.0%
−10.4 pp
10.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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