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Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 7AM ET

data as of 2025-09-04 11:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.6K+$3.7K$2.9K
Holders34+133
Trades313+56257
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
+0.4 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI-1.7%
+1.7 pp
-3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−0.67×
×1.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.91
−0.64×
×1.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$696
+$547
$149
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL9.7%
+44.5 pp
-34.8%
Underwater %10.7%
−52.6 pp
63.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.3%
+0.1 pp
81.3%
Bot %83.6%
+2.5 pp
81.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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