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Will MrBeast say "Cheat" or "Cheater" during his next YouTube video?

data as of 2026-07-12 08:16 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 11, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
39¢
NO
87¢
YES
39¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12−$86$98
Holders404
Trades4−26
NO
87¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−6.7 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI1.6%
−12.4 pp
14.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.07×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.05×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
+$4
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−5.0 pp
5.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−19.6 pp
19.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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