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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C or higher on July 20?

data as of 2026-07-18 04:22 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$44$45
Holders2−13
Trades10+28
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.2%
−53.6 pp
96.8%
Avg ROI247.4%
+248.2 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.50
+4.50×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.8%
−81.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %50.0%
+50.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.0%
+50.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %50.0%
+50.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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