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Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in April 2025?

data as of 2025-05-04 12:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$946−$27K$28K
Holders62−2890
Trades685+253432
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.2%
−26.6 pp
69.8%
Avg ROI59.0%
+47.7 pp
11.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.01
+5.03×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.19
+9.22×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$358
$359
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.06
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.1%
−94.3 pp
3.3%
Underwater %83.3%
+76.0 pp
7.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.2%
−36.7 pp
55.9%
Bot %19.2%
−36.7 pp
55.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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