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Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?

data as of 2026-06-23 20:36 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 27, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
75¢
NO
23¢
YES
75¢
YesY-NNo
Position$197+$128$69
Holders4−48
Trades9−1221
NO
23¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate72.4%
+22.0 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI42.6%
+37.4 pp
5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.44×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.17×
×1.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
+$5
−$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
+17.0 pp
-17.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+67.2 pp
32.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−25.2 pp
25.2%
Bot %0.0%
−25.2 pp
25.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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