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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 00:55 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6−$547$553
Holders20−1737
Trades74−1185
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.4%
−62.8 pp
97.2%
Avg ROI49.1%
+49.0 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.99
+4.99×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$6
$6
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.29
0.71
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.3%
−83.9 pp
0.6%
Underwater %94.8%
+94.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.4%
+29.2 pp
1.2%
Bot %30.4%
+29.2 pp
1.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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