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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 26?

data as of 2026-07-25 04:08 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
10¢
NO
90¢
YES
10¢
YesY-NNo
Position$16−$154$171
Holders5−1015
Trades14−519
NO
90¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.7%
−39.8 pp
84.5%
Avg ROI11.2%
+9.5 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−0.12×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−0.16×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
−$139
$153
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL16.3%
+17.8 pp
-1.5%
Underwater %19.3%
−67.8 pp
87.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.7%
−5.6 pp
19.3%
Bot %45.9%
−2.9 pp
48.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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