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Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

data as of 2026-02-26 16:07 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$170K+$125K$45K
Holders169−103272
Trades3.1K−8033.9K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate74.2%
+14.5 pp
59.7%
Avg ROI16.1%
+0.1 pp
16.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.36
−26.30×
×26.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−17.57×
×18.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$406
−$341
−$65
Recent buyer dominance0.43
+0.36
0.07
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL116.5%
+211.1 pp
-94.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−85.4 pp
85.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.0%
+1.2 pp
2.9%
Bot %4.0%
+2.2 pp
1.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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