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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 10:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.5K−$41K$49K
Holders478+52426
Trades3.2K+7422.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.3%
−19.3 pp
63.6%
Avg ROI7.2%
+6.4 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.74
+8.81×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.64
+6.70×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.5K
−$40.8K
$46.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−103.0 pp
10.1%
Underwater %88.3%
+58.3 pp
30.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.7%
−12.9 pp
35.6%
Bot %39.0%
−13.4 pp
52.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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