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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26?

data as of 2026-07-25 05:54 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
30¢
NO
66¢
YES
30¢
YesY-NNo
Position$66−$86$152
Holders12−1022
Trades13−2942
NO
66¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
+8.8 pp
41.2%
Avg ROI39.0%
+39.8 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−0.12×
×1.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.97
−0.10×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$48
−$68
$116
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.13
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.6%
+10.1 pp
-6.5%
Underwater %5.1%
−89.8 pp
94.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−22.8 pp
22.8%
Bot %0.0%
−22.8 pp
22.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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