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Will Democrats win 65 seats or more in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?

data as of 2025-11-03 17:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$87−$4.5K$4.6K
Holders26−1945
Trades243+76167
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.1%
−23.3 pp
73.4%
Avg ROI6.9%
−5.2 pp
12.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.01×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
−0.01×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$1.6K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.26
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL6.1%
+6.0 pp
0.1%
Underwater %0.6%
−90.3 pp
90.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.5%
−49.4 pp
53.9%
Bot %4.5%
−49.2 pp
53.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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