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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 24?

data as of 2026-03-21 11:28 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$173−$93K$93K
Holders45−1560
Trades1.2K+995250
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.2%
−19.0 pp
57.2%
Avg ROI1.5%
−2.3 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.50
+2.54×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.66
+1.69×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14
+$87
−$73
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-60.6%
−64.4 pp
3.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.2%
−64.1 pp
88.3%
Bot %24.2%
−64.1 pp
88.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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