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Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?

data as of 2026-07-01 07:10 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
36¢
NO
64¢
YES
36¢
YesY-NNo
Position$112−$268$380
Holders12−416
Trades39+1425
NO
64¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.8%
+40.7 pp
38.1%
Avg ROI24.6%
+21.4 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−0.45×
×1.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−0.44×
×1.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$126
−$360
$486
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.10
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.1%
+52.9 pp
-13.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.6 pp
96.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−1.8 pp
1.8%
Bot %0.0%
−1.6 pp
1.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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