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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 12:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$5.9K$17K
Holders375−18393
Trades2.9K−6243.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
+2.4 pp
48.9%
Avg ROI2.1%
+0.5 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−40.04×
×40.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−37.53×
×38.15
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.9K
+$4.5K
$16.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.04
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL65.5%
+162.9 pp
-97.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.0%
+4.1 pp
44.9%
Bot %61.0%
−7.9 pp
69.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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