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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 08:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$4.1K$8.0K
Holders104−113217
Trades1.3K−1551.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
−3.7 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI4.1%
−3.0 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.32
+24.65×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×27.42
+26.77×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.8K
−$2.8K
$4.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.08
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−151.1 pp
54.5%
Underwater %91.6%
+91.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.7%
+6.2 pp
22.5%
Bot %40.2%
+6.5 pp
33.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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